Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.020596 0.022302 0.024082 0.026078 0.028257 0.030564 0.033194
2025-08-24 0.017316 0.019706 0.022338 0.025456 0.029055 0.033088 0.037960
2025-08-31 0.015324 0.018093 0.021264 0.025178 0.029892 0.035405 0.042369
2025-09-07 0.013892 0.016894 0.020447 0.024978 0.030629 0.037477 0.046452
2025-09-14 0.012790 0.015952 0.019798 0.024845 0.031331 0.039437 0.050410
2025-09-21 0.011801 0.015047 0.019092 0.024535 0.031718 0.040943 0.053800
2025-09-28 0.011130 0.014482 0.018752 0.024632 0.032587 0.043066 0.058070
2025-10-05 0.010476 0.013884 0.018313 0.024544 0.033164 0.044790 0.061857
2025-10-12 0.009969 0.013442 0.018042 0.024642 0.033971 0.046834 0.066174
2025-10-19 0.009510 0.013030 0.017777 0.024716 0.034722 0.048813 0.070483
2025-10-26 0.009042 0.012576 0.017420 0.024626 0.035215 0.050424 0.074318
2025-11-02 0.008639 0.012187 0.017128 0.024602 0.035785 0.052154 0.078407
2025-11-09 0.008133 0.011640 0.016602 0.024236 0.035871 0.053236 0.081681
2025-11-16 0.007647 0.011098 0.016057 0.023813 0.035849 0.054155 0.084774
2025-11-23 0.007254 0.010672 0.015656 0.023579 0.036091 0.055481 0.088580
2025-11-30 0.006907 0.010294 0.015306 0.023397 0.036393 0.056899 0.092608
2025-12-07 0.006603 0.009964 0.015008 0.023274 0.036771 0.058445 0.096928
2025-12-14 0.006281 0.009590 0.014622 0.022985 0.036854 0.059501 0.100460
2025-12-21 0.006070 0.009380 0.014479 0.023076 0.037561 0.061618 0.105958
2025-12-28 0.005835 0.009119 0.014240 0.022994 0.037965 0.063236 0.110659
2026-01-04 0.005653 0.008933 0.014112 0.023085 0.038664 0.065388 0.116455
2026-01-11 0.005477 0.008748 0.013976 0.023154 0.039320 0.067494 0.122290
2026-01-18 0.005281 0.008521 0.013759 0.023070 0.039700 0.069118 0.127315